Representations and warranties for existing but underutilized
Fannie Mae and
Freddie Mac guidelines came online Monday that will make it
easier
to get a mortgage to buy a home. The mortgage giants have a minimum
credit score floor of 620 but most lenders have been reluctant to
incorporate that standard in underwriting guidelines. As well,
consideration is being given to lowering the minimum down payment
from 5% to 3%, but no decision or announcement has been made. Obviously
this would be great news for prospective homebuyers that do not have a
lot of money to put down or may have some challenging credit history.
This will of course add homebuyer candidates to the buyer pool and
should create increased demand in the housing markets.
These expanded guidelines, if prudently applied, could add a layer to
the mortgage and home buyer consumer market that is presently
underserved.
That being said, if these new guidelines speak to your borrower
profile, do not expect to just head over to your local mortgage lender
and pick up a briefcase full of house buying cash.
How easy it will be to get conventional loans with 3% down payments
and 620 credit scores is another issue. Mortgage lenders live in the
cocoon of Qualified Mortgage protection and while this
easing
may in fact expand Ability-To-Repay parameters, a price will be paid to
fortify these riskier loans. That price will take the form of higher
risk based interest rates, more expensive PMI (mortgage insurance),
increased reserve asset requirements, even tougher debt ratio standards.
Easier is not a synonym for
expanded and expanded is what is really happening to Fannie and Freddie guidelines.
The real bonus with these expanded guidelines is how conventional
financing will be positioned for direct competition with FHA loans. FHA,
HUD and the deficit black hole that is the Mutual Mortgage Insurance
Fund are about to see demand for overpriced Mortgage Insurance Premiums
plummet. FHA MIP has increased five times over the last three years and
is now priced beyond the point where anybody at HUD can reasonably
explain why. Add to this Cadillac mortgage insurance pricing the fact
that there is no way to get rid of FHA MIP regardless of equity, and
conventional financing becomes the ipso facto clearly more attractive
alternative.
The math is pretty simple: FHA requires upfront MIP and conventional
PMI does not. FHA MIP is more expensive than conventional PMI, and oh
yeah, FHA MIP stays with the loan for the life of the loan regardless of
equity, while conventional PMI allows for current appraisal supported
equity of 22% to eliminate PMI. The choice is simple; no possibility of
parole or parole.
Conventional loans are tougher on things like debt ratios (comparing
monthly income to mortgage payments and recurring debts), but every FHA
mortgage consumer should have their mortgage rep take a long and hard
look at whether a conventional loan with a 3% down payment or a 620
credit score is a viable option.
I have been notoriously hard on HUD, the FHA, even Commissioner
Galante about the consumer gouging nature of ever increasing FHA
mortgage insurance premiums and the interestingly managed runaway
deficit MMI Fund. Free market economics have a way of correcting and
creating balance even in engineered market sectors. With expanded
conventional mortgage financing in one corner and positioned directly
against FHA mortgage financing, the current and only game in town in the
opposing corner, FHA MIP may be market forced to competitive pricing.
Otherwise, FHA mortgage business will fall victim to accelerating
conventional originations and that MMI Fund deficit will collapse on
itself. Watch.